Monday, August 16, 2010

TQM

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Sunday, August 15, 2010

Basic Principles of Total Quality Management (TQM)

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The basic principles for the Total Quality Management (TQM) philosophy of doing business are to satisfy the customer, satisfy the supplier, and continuously improve the business processes.

  • Questions you may have include:
  • How do you satisfy the customer?
  • Why should you satisfy the supplier?
  • What is continuous improvement?

six-sigma_1

Satisfy the customer

The first and major TQM principle is to satisfy the customer--the person who pays for the product or service. Customers want to get their money's worth from a product or service they purchase.

Users

If the user of the product is different than the purchaser, then both the user and customer must be satisfied, although the person who pays gets priority.

Company philosophy

A company that seeks to satisfy the customer by providing them value for what they buy and the quality they expect will get more repeat business, referral business, and reduced complaints and service expenses.

Some top companies not only provide quality products, but they also give extra service to make their customers feel important and valued.

Internal customers

Within a company, a worker provides a product or service to his or her supervisors. If the person has any influence on the wages the worker receives, that person can be thought of as an internal customer. A worker should have the mind-set of satisfying internal customers in order to keep his or her job and to get a raise or promotion.

Chain of customers

Often in a company, there is a chain of customers, -each improving a product and passing it along until it is finally sold to the external customer. Each worker must not only seek to satisfy the immediate internal customer, but he or she must look up the chain to try to satisfy the ultimate customer.

Satisfy the supplier

A second TQM principle is to satisfy the supplier, which is the person or organization from whom you are purchasing goods or services.

External suppliers

A company must look to satisfy their external suppliers by providing them with clear instructions and requirements and then paying them fairly and on time.

It is only in the company's best interest that its suppliers provide it with quality goods or services, if the company hopes to provide quality goods or services to its external customers.

Internal suppliers

A supervisor must try to keep his or her workers happy and productive by providing good task instructions, the tools they need to do their job and good working conditions. The supervisor must also reward the workers with praise and good pay.

Get better work

The reason to do this is to get more productivity out of the workers, as well as to keep the good workers. An effective supervisor with a good team of workers will  certainly satisfy his or her internal customers.

Empower workers

One area of satisfying the internal suppler is by empowering the workers. This means to allow them to make decisions on things that they can control. This not only takes the burden off the supervisor, but it also motivates these internal suppliers to do better work.

Continuous improvement

The third principle of TQM is continuous improvement. You can never be satisfied with the method used, because there always can be improvements. Certainly, the competition is improving, so it is very necessary to strive to keep ahead of the game.

Working smarter, not harder

Some companies have tried to improve by making employees work harder. This may be counter-productive, especially if the process itself is flawed. For example, trying to increase worker output on a defective machine may result in more defective parts.

Examining the source of problems and delays and then improving them is what is needed. Often the process has bottlenecks that are the real cause of the problem. These must be removed.

Worker suggestions

Workers are often a source of continuous improvements. They can provide suggestions on how to improve a process and eliminate waste or unnecessary work.

Quality methods

There are also many quality methods, such as just-in-time production, variability reduction, and poka-yoke that can improve processes and reduce waste.

Summary

The principles of Total Quality Management are to seek to satisfy the external customer with quality goods and services, as well as your company internal customers; to satisfy your external and internal suppliers; and to continuously improve processes by working smarter and using special quality methods.

Income Tax Ordinance 2001

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Taxation System in Pakistan

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Federal taxes in Pakistan like most of the taxation systems in the world are classified into two broad categories, viz., direct and indirect taxes. A broad description regarding the nature of administration of these taxes is explained below:Tax Laws of Pakistan

Direct Taxes

Direct taxes primarily comprise income tax, along with supplementary role of wealth tax. For the purpose of the charge of tax and the computation of total income, all income is classified under the following heads:
1. Salaries
2. Interest on securities;
3. Income from property;
4. Income from business or professions
5. Capital gains; and
6. Income from other sources.

Personal Tax

All individuals, unregistered firms, associations of persons, etc., are liable to tax, at the rates randing from 10 to 35 per cent.

Tax on Companies

All public companies (other than banking companies) incorporated in Pakistan are assessed for tax at corporate rate of 39%. However, the effective rate is likely to differ on account of allowances and exemptions related to industry, location, exports, etc.

Inter-Corporate Dividend Tax

Tax on the dividends received by a public company from a Pakistan company is payable at the rate of 5% and at the rate of 15% in case dividends are received by a foreign company. Inetr-corporate dividends declared or distributed by power generation companies is subject to reduced rate of tax i.e., 7.5%. Other companies are taxed at the rate of 20%. Dividends paid to all non-company shareholders by the companies are subject to with holding tax of 10% which is treated as a full and final discharge of tax liability in respect of this source of income.'

Treatment of Dividend Income

Dividend income received as below enjoys tax exemption, provided it does not exceed Rs. 10,000/-.
1. Dividend received by non-resident from the state enterprises Mutual Fund set by the Investment Corporation of Pakistan.
2. Dividends received from a domestic company out of income earned abroad provided it is engaged abroad exclusively in rendering technical services in accordance with an agreement approved by the Central Board of Revenue.

Unilateral Relief

A person resident in Pakistan is entitled to a relief in tax on any income earned abroad, if such income has already been subjected to tax outside Pakistan. Proportionate relief is allowed on such income at an average rate of tax in Pakistan or abroad, whichever is lower.

Agreement for avoidance of double taxation

The Government of Pakistan has so far signed agreements to avoid double taxation with 39 countries including almost all the developed countries of the world. These agreements lay down the ceilings on tax rates applicable to different types of income arising in Pakistan. They also lay down some basic principles of taxation which cannot be modified unilaterally. The list of countries with which Pakistan has concluded tax treaties is given below:
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Austria
Belgium
Bangladesh
Canada
China
Denmark
Egypt
France
Finland
Germany
Greece
India
Indonesia
Iran
Ireland
Italy
Japan
South Korea
Lebanon
Libya
Malta
Mauritius
Saudi Arabia
Singapore
Poland
Romania
Switzerland
Thailand
Sri Lanka
Sweden
Turkmenistan
U.K.
Turkey
Tunisia
Kazakistan
U.A.E.
U.S.A



Customs

Goods imported and exported from Pakistan are liable to rates of Customs duties as prescribed in Pakistan Customs Tariff. Customs duties in the form of import duties and export duties constitute about 37% of the total tax receipts. The rate structure of customs duty is determined by a large number of socio-economic factors. However, the general scheme envisages higher rates on luxury items as well as on less essential goods. The import tariff has been given an industrial bias by keeping the duties on industrial plants and machinery and raw material lower than those on consumer goods.

Central Excise

Central Excise duties are leviable on a limited number of goods produced or manufactured, and services provided or rendered in Pakistan. On most of the items Central Excise duty is charged on the basis of value or retail price. Some items are, however, chargeable to duty on the basis of weight or quantity. Classification of goods is done in accordance with the Harmonized Commodity Description and Coding system which is being used all over the world. All exports are exempted from Central Excise Duty.
 

Thursday, August 12, 2010

Benchmarking

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Benchmarking is the general name given to a range of techniques which involve comparisons between two examples of the same process so as to provide opportunities for learning. Benchmarking can, for example, be used to compare how different companies manage the product development processes; where one is faster than the other there are learning opportunities in trying to understand how they achieve this. The approach has been widely used — for example in the field of quality management where it is used to drive the development of improvements in business performance, in software development and in developing continuous improvement systems.

One of the best-known examples of benchmarking as a learning resource are the activities within the International Motor Vehicle Programme, which has systematically collected and exchanged information on nearly all car assembly plants in the world. It can show how different plants are more or less effective on a range of measures — and in doing so it focuses the attention of other plant managers on how this is being achieved. It has acted as a powerful catalyst for learning in that industry and the model of benchmarking has been extended to other domains such as aerospace manufacturing and construction.

Project evaluation tools

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Decisions on where to invest the company's resources to achieve a technological innovation have a major impact on the future competitiveness of the company. Therefore, trying to get involved in the right projects is worth an effort, both to avoid wasting the company's time and resources in meaningless activities, and to improve the chances of success.
However, in a continuous improvement context, ideas for change and projects which need significant resources might be prioritized rather than selected, with a view to all projects eventually being addressed.
In short, project evaluation aims at analyzing research and development projects, or activities or ideas, for any or all of the following purposes:
  • Getting an overall understanding of the project.
  • Making priorities among a set of projects.
  • Taking a decision about whether or not to proceed with a project.
  • Monitoring projects, e.g. by following up the parameters analyzed when the project was selected.
  • Terminating projects and evaluating the results obtained.

Why and when are they used?

To provide information to assess the value of a potential project with particular reference to the estimation of costs, resources and benefits, in order to take a decision about whether or not to proceed with the project. A secondary use is for monitoring and terminating projects.

How do they work?

A very long list of specific techniques have been developed over the years, and are still being developed and used today, both within companies and in the academic world. Most of those techniques can be described by means of some common elements which form the backbone structure of any project evaluation technique.

Figure 1

Main elements of Project Evaluation

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The inputs:
the data on important aspects of the projects and the business environment which are needed to analyze them. The inputs will be assembled from various sources, and care should be taken to ensure its certainty, although some inputs will surely be very subjective. At the end of the day, an evaluation can only be as good as the data that go into it.

Table 1
Typical inputs to Project Evaluation

Typical inputs

Technological the technical activities which will have to be undertaken, maturity of technology, company's technological position
Internal potential technical success, familiarity with the area of the project, role of individuals and of different functions within the organization
Financial expected benefit, likely cost, both of project and consequent actions
Market size and attractiveness of the market, competitive position
Business clarification of objectives, fit with company's strategy, level of top-management support, key success factors
  • Weighting: as certain data may be given more relevance than other (eg of market inputs compared with technical factors), in order to reflect the company's strategy or the company's particular views. The data is then processed to arrive at the outcomes.
  • Many techniques include balancing between projects, as the relative value of a project with respect to other projects is an important factor in situations of competition for limited resources. Portfolio manageportment techniques are specifically devoted to deal with this factor.
  • The techniques might also incorporate how the results of the evaluation have to be communicated among the interested parties, as well as the way to proceed in order to make the final decision. Eventually, no technique should be allowed to take decisions, as this is a management responsibility. Even when expert systems are used managers have the final word.
Project evaluation usually assumes that there is a choice of projects in which to invest, but businesses may only be able to do R&D in collaborative projects or contract situations and if they are not asked to be involved in any projects there is no choice available in practice. Even in these situations, project evaluation is paramount to grasp what might be expected from pursuing each opportunity.
With the apparent increase in networking, companies could move from one collaborative project to another as opportunities arise. Project evaluation in such situations actually means strategic direction (deciding which projects to accept). However accepting a project which is essentially a contract or order is quite different from selecting projects in which the company is making the financial investment. Companies are less likely to decline project opportunities and this could imply a deviation from the preferred strategy of the company. Even in these cases, project evaluation techniques can and should be used to assess the value and risk of those opportunities, in order to know whether the company's resources could be better used for other purposes.
Nevertheless, all these different situations and contexts can have a specific answer within project evaluation techniques. The answer can be either to use different techniques for different situations, or, better, to introduce variations within the same technique (eg by using different inputs or different weighting depending on the context).

Specific techniques

Project evaluation methods have evolved in response to changing needs, although 'old' techniques are still in use today. The earlier methods were based on financial assessment, and even now this forms the back-bone of most practical methods.
One basic classification of all potential techniques might be:
  • Techniques mainly or uniquely based on a financial assessment.
  • Techniques mainly based on human judgment.
  • Learning techniques, which explicitly take account of past experience in order to improve future decisions.
Most of the techniques in practical use by industry incorporate a mixture of financial assessment and human judgment. A more detailed list of types of techniques is shown in table 2.

Table 2
Type of Project Evaluation techniques

Techniques Short description

Financial ratio methods

  • Among the longest established, easily-applied methods
  • Criticised as of limited accuracy
  • The key is the ratio (financial benefit) /(cost) in which the estimations of benefits should be agreed by marketing

Cash flow analysis

  • Requires the estimation of cash outflows and inflows
  • It can be sofhisticated by considering discounting factors

Score index methods

  • They generalize the simple Ratio Analysis by considering the probability for technical and market success
  • The estimations of probability are usually made by experts
  • Some of these methods include discount factors: some of the measures are Internal Rate of Return (IRR) and Return of Investment (ROI)
Mathematical methods
  • They are based on the optimisation of allocation of R&D resources through mathematical programming
  • The success of the methods depends strongly on how well the benefit is understood and how well the input data is converted into variables
  • The algorithms tend to be customised and they can incorporate experience through expert systems
Matrix methods
  • They employ subjective considerations for proper measurement of management information
  • Matrix methods use correlation techniques in order to identify relationships that constitute the basis for decision-making
Check-lists
  • Method that includes the reminders of the factors which are important in decision-making
  • Simple and rapid way to assess a project with little effort
  • Can be considered as starting point for more sophisticated methods as SWOT analysis

Relevance and decision trees

  • It is an approach for structured thinking
  • It requires a very clear objective or long term goal, establishing a clear differentiation between goals and means for achieving them
  • Critical path analysis and decision trees are examples of these methods

Multicriteria & table methods

  • Scoring procedures to incorporate judgments based on a number of criteria
  • Various criteria may be used such as economic and financial factors and concepts or decision theory
  • The scoring of criteria is usually complemented with the use of weight factors in order do distinguish the importance of each criteria
QFD
  • It is used in many fields of design and engineering
  • It is based on the identification of customer requirements and the means for achieving those requirements
  • Includes a scoring procedure with weighting of the factors

Experience based methods

  • They are based on the analysis of conditions that are usually related to the success or failure of a project (quality of execution, synergies, etc.)
  • Success or failure is predicted according to the answers to questions on those mentioned factors
  • The inputs for those factors should come from members in different departments
Vision
  • The vision is that of an individual (a Chief Executive or a product champion) defying conventional wisdom and bringing about a breakthrough
  • It is common when information is scarce and it can be sustained by irrational methods
  • When it works it has many virtues: speedy, incisive and changing the scene

Many techniques used today are totally or partially software based, which have some additional benefits in automating the process. In any case, the most important issue, for any method, is the managers' interpretation of the direct outcomes.

There is no best technique. The extent to which different techniques for project evaluation can be used will depend upon the nature of the project, the information availability, the company's culture and several other factors. This is clear from the variety of techniques which are theoretically available and the extent to which they have been used in practice. In any case, no matter which technique is selected by a company, it should be implemented, and probably adapted, according to the particular needs of that company.

Checklist

A checklist is a reminder of the factors (a list of factors) which are important in making a decision. Most useful criteria for evaluating any type of research or development project are essentially independent of the business field and the business strategy. These criteria include technical and commercial details, research and development realities, legal and financial factors, company targets and company strategy, etc.
The requirements for the use of this technique are minimal, and the effort involved in using it is normally low. Another advantage of the technique is that it is very easily adaptable to the company's way of doing things. However, checklist can be a starting point for more sophisticated methods where the basic information can be used for better focus. One simple and useful example is a SWOT analysis, where projects are assessed for their Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats.
Therefore, this technique can be developed further and the analysis interaction and feedback can be easily managed using simple information technology. Different ways to sophisticate the technique might be:
  • To include some quantitative factors among the whole list of factors.
  • To assign different weights to different factors.
  • To develop a systematic way of arriving to an overall opinion on the project.
A simple checklist could be one made up of a lists of factors which have been formed to affect the success of a project and which need to be considered at the outset. In the evaluation procedure a project is evaluated against each of these factors using a linear scale, usually 1 to 5 or 1 to 10 (see figure 2). The factors can be weighted to indicate their relative importance to the organisation.

Figure 2
Example of how to use a checklist

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A value in this technique lies in its simplicity but by the appropriate choice of factors it is possible to ensure that the questions address, and are answered by, all functional areas. When used effectively this guarantees a useful discussion, an identification and clarification of areas of disagreement and a stronger commitment, by all involved, to the ultimate outcome.

Checklist example

Table 3 shows an example of a checklist, developed by the Industrial Research Institute, that, in princpiple, could be applied to any type of R&D activities: research, product development and process development.

Table 3
List of potential factors for project evaluation

Corporate Objectives Fits into the overall objectives and strategy
Corporate image
Marketing and Distribution Size of potential market
Capability to market product
Market trend and growth
Customer acceptance
Relationship with existing markets
Market share
Market risk during development period
Pricing trend, proprietary problem, etc.
Complete product line
Quality improvement
Timing of introduction of new product
Expected product sales life
Manufacturing Cost savings
Capability of manufacturing product
Facility and equipment requirements
Availability of raw material
Manufacturing safety
Research and development Likelihood of technical success
Cost
Development time
Capability of available skills
Availability of R&D resources
Availability of R&D facilities
Patent status
Compatibility with other projects
Regulatory and legal Factors Potential product liability
Regulatory clearance
Financial Profitability
Capital investment required
Annual (or unit) cost
Rate of return on investment
Unit price
Payout period
Utilization of assets, cost reduction and cash-flow
Using the list of table 3 as a reference, any company should be able to develop its own checklist. This adaptation could take several forms:
  • By sophisticating the checklist as suggested above.
  • By choosing part of or adding different factors that better suit the company and its environment. For example, if the company strongly relies on external resources, either from other companies or from technological infrastructures, either for the development or for the production activities, this should probably be reflected in the list.

Cash flow analysis

In its simplest form this approach requires the completion of a standard form which asks for estimates of the expected cash outflows and inflows for the project. This can be done on a yearly basis for longer term projects or on a shorter time scale for shorter term projects, even down to weekly.

Table 4
Cash outflows and inflows

  Cash Outflow Cash Inflow Net Cash Flow
1997 C0 B0 B1-C1
1998 C1 B1 B2-C2
1999 C2 B2 B3-C3
2000 C3 B3 B4-C4
When portrayed as a cash flow diagram a typical project might look as shown in figure 3.

Figure 3
Diagram to plot the evolution of cash flow over time

IMAGE34
A frequently used form of analysis applied to this data is to calculate the break even point. This is the point at which the cumulative net cash flow is equal to zero and hence the cash inflow has covered all the cash outflows (see figure 4).

Figure 4
Break even point

IMAGE35
The reason for this measure being seen as important is that the shorter the time scale to break-even, or payback, the less risk there is that the environment will change dramatically and hence seriously affect the estimates used in the cash flow projections. However, the analysis completely ignores the likely returns after the break even point and therefore is not really a good indicator of the real potential of a project. In some cases, people choose to ignore the time value of money, although it is not difficult to handle this by including cost of capital payments on the net cash outflows as part of the costs.
An easier way to do this, however, and one commonly encountered is to use the discounted cash flow approach. Here the cost of capital is incorporated directly into the calculation in a way which also takes into account the actual year of expenditure. The result is a figure which represents the present value of both the cost and benefit stream and ultimately a net present value which is the difference between the two. For example:
IMAGE08
A net present value greater than zero therefore indicates that a project will produce a surplus after all costs are paid and is therefore likely to be worth undertaking. It is also possible to calculate a Benefit to Cost ratio which can provide another indication of value.
In some cases it may not be easy to identify the true cost of capital and at the same time some people prefer to think in terms of rate of return on investment (ROI). In such circumstances it is not difficult to identify what has been termed the internal rate of return which is calculated by setting PVB = PVc and solving the resulting equation for i. This can be done very simply, as can the NPV calculation, using widely available computer programmes.

Decision analysis

There is inevitably uncertainty surrounding the information which is used in any evaluation exercise. The extent of this will depend upon the type of project and the environment in which the organization operates. One way of incorporating this into the evaluation procedure is through the use of probability estimates. This can be done in a number of different ways. For example, it is possible to adjust the calculations made by other techniques using estimates of the probability of commercial success and/or of technical success to create a rank index as follows
Rank Index = Pt PB (B-C)
The potential variability in costs and benefits is very likely to be influenced by the time to completion and by the competitive environment. It is possible to take this into account using a simple 3 estimate approach. This requires that people are prepared to consider pessimistic and optimistic values as well as the most likely. This approach has been used in the planning of highly complex technical projects as is described in the project planning section.
However these methods tend to ignore the multi stage process which most projects go through. A useful way of illustrating this is through the use of the decision tree approach. Figure 5 clearly illustrates that it is possible to stop a project at intermediate stages if progress is not up to expectations. In this case there are few stages and following each one there is an estimate showing the probability of success (s) or of failure (f).

Figure 5
Example of a decision tree

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Watch out for

Typical problems that might arise in the implementation and use of project evaluation are as follows:
  • Thinking that subjective estimates are exact representations of future outcomes.
  • People who are not committed to the process and who provide information without due thought to its likely accuracy and the effect of this on the selection decision.
  • Unnecessary change of goals and resource conflicts with other projects which will lead to an inability to achieve the desired outcomes.
  • The technique becoming a routine that the project has to suffer, being not applied with the intensity and effort required. Furthermore, any technique needs to be applied rigorously to avoid that those with a long experience in dealing with it can learn how to 'cheat' it.
  • Changes occurring in the company context should have an impact in the application of project evaluation. Although there might be a learning process involved in order to master the technique, hence requiring it is applied consistently over a period of time, at the same time it needs to continuosly adapt itself to every new situation.

Wednesday, August 11, 2010

Current UK Cheque Clearing Process

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Introduction

The process and timescales for processing cheques is a legacy from the times when banks did not have computers. It is essentially determined by how long it takes to move pieces of paper around the country (in the old days by trains, nowadays by motorcycle couriers and vans).

The process is illustrated below based on the example of a person called Hero paying a cheque into their own bank (Clearing Bank A) on day T but drawn on another Clearing Bank B.

diagram15.1.1 In the Hero example, later on, the cheque bounces at Clearing Bank B and is returned for lack of funds but how that works is described in a later diagram. The key stages are described in sequence.

Normal Cheque Clearing Process

Out Clearing

Our hero pays in the cheque and credit slip in a branch of his bank, Clearing Bank A. This cheque with all the other cheques deposited at the branch is couriered to a regional centre. In these regional centres the out-clearing is carried out. It essentially consists of the following tasks:

  1. Electronically reading the amount of the cheque by using Image Character Recording (ICR) technology.
  2. Electronically reading the sort code account number and cheque number from the bottom of the cheque using Magnetic Ink Recognition (MICR) technology or ICR Technology. (This line of information at the bottom of the cheque is called the code line).
  3. Sorting the cheques into piles corresponding to each clearing bank (using the sort codes read to identify the clearing bank). Thus at the end of the process there should be a pile for Barclays, one for HSBC, one for Lloyds TSB and so on.
  4. From the electronically read amount information and the electronic code line information electronic files of cheque payment records are created for each clearing bank. These are called IBDE (Inter Bank Data Exchange) files.
  5. The paper credit corresponding to the cheque is also converted into an electronic accounting entry by similar ICR/OCR technology and is put into an electronic file of credits for uses in Clearing Bank A’s internal accounting.

Clearing Bank A Accounting

Clearing Bank A feeds the electronic credit record into its accounting systems (usually overnight). The bank will give customer access to the funds for interest and/or withdrawal purposes according to its own rules, credit policies and credit assessment of the person paying the money in. For an established customer with a good credit history they may give value and withdrawal for interest from the first day. For new account holders or customers they consider high risk they may give access to the funds for interest purposes from day T but not allow the customer to withdraw funds until four days later; when they are more certain the cheque will not bounce. In our case, Hero is credited with the value of the cheque in time for the morning of day T+1.

Exchange

Clearing Bank A sends all its piles of cheques drawn on other banks in a van to the Central Exchange near Milton Keynes. There, the piles of cheques are given to vans from the other banks. They also give Clearing Bank A piles of cheques that have been paid in at their branches drawn on Clearing Bank A. We are now interested in Clearing Bank B’s van which has collected Hero’s cheque in a pile from Clearing Bank A at the Exchange Centre and this now returns to the In-Clearing Centre at Clearing Bank B.

In parallel with the physical exchange of cheques is an electronic exchange of files of payments in the form of IBDE files. These are transmitted over secure network connection from each clearing bank to another on a Bilateral basis.

Both the physical and electronic records have been exchanged by 11:00 am on the morning of Day T+1.

In-Clearing

The physical cheques are received from the Exchange Centre at Clearing Bank B. These cheques are processed with three* aims in mind (Some banks make electronic image copies of the cheques here as well but this does not change the basic process.):

  1. First the code lines are read (for sort code, account number and cheque number). This is used to verify the records in the IBDE file of electronic payments.
  2. Second the cheques are sorted into sort code and account number order for potential retrieval in case of queries/returns.
  3. The cheques for Agency Banks are sorted into seperate piles for onward deliveries to those banks.

Once the file of incoming cheques has been verified against the IBDE file of incoming cheques the electronic file of payments is passed onto the accounting (usually overnight) of Clearing Bank B on the night of T+1.

The overnight accounting provisionally debits the account with what is called an AM entry; effectively earmarking the funds.

Pay/No Pay

Clearing Bank B now spends a considerable part of day T+2 deciding whether to pay or not the cheques that have been drawn on its customers’ accounts. These decisions are a mixture of computer based and human based decisions. They fall into two categories.

  1. Account Related – if the account has insufficient funds to cover the amount of the cheque the overnight accounting will highlight the account as being in excess. Credit assessment systems then kick in on the account and for many customers will decide whether to honour the cheque or bounce it (in all cases the bank will charge fees but some accounts may be deemed credit worthy by the computer and hence allowed to go overdrawn). For some classes of customer such as large corporates or high net worth individuals where the customer relationship is very important banking officers will make the decision to pay or not. Other account based reasons for returning the cheque might be that the account has been closed or the customer has deceased.
  2. Cheque Related – there are also a range of Fraud and Technical reasons why the cheque should be returned. Banks run a number of tests such as testing the cheques are on special bank issued paper or that the signature on the cheque is a good match with their record of the customer’s signature to ensure the cheque is bona fide. They also run “profiling” tests which use statistical techniques to highlight unusual payments (e.g. unusually large, unusually frequent, etc.) to seek out potential frauds. Customers can ask to have cheques stopped so the bank runs a comparison of cheques to be processed against lists of stopped cheques with a view to returning such items that match. They also test to ensure words and figures match and that the date on the cheque is okay. If they discover problems with any of this they can return the cheque unpaid.

In our hypothetical case, the person who paid Hero has insufficient funds on his account so the bank decides to return the cheque to Hero. If the account had had enough money the clearing cycle would have stopped here. The next steps are illustrated by dotted lines in the diagram below.

Returning of Bounced Cheques

diagram15.1.2

Unpaids Out

Clearing Bank B, towards the end of T+2, having decided that the cheque paid to Hero is to be returned, has to physically locate it among the thousands of cheques processed. A sorting process takes place creating piles of unpaid cheques, one for each of the other clearing banks. These piles are then put in a van to go to Central Exchange to be returned to the other clearing banks.

Some banks do not use this “Centralised Unpaids Out” model but rather make the pay/no pay decisions in branches and sort out the cheques to be unpaid in the branches as well. In these cases the branch returning the cheques posts them to Clearing Bank A by first class mail.

Unpaids In

Whether the cheque is returned via the Central Exchange or via post it is handled as part of “Unpaids In” at Clearing Bank A on day T+3. Clearing Bank A reads the code line of the returned cheques and uses the sort code, account number and cheque numbers as a key to identify the account that received the credit for the cheque amount. Once identified, the account is debited on the night of T+3 for the amount of the cheque, thus reversing the credit posted a few days earlier.

Conclusion

The above paragraphs form a high level description of the cheque clearing process which is a small industry in its own right. Aspects that have not been covered are:

  1. The credit clearing process (e.g. where someone pays a credit slip for Clearing Bank B in at Bank A). This is similar to the cheque clearing process but there are no IBDE files.
  2. The variations for the Northern Irish Banks and the Scottish Banks (extra days are incurred through logistics and lack of IBDE files).
  3. The Research and Adjustments processes, these are processes based around control totals for batches of cheques tallying right across the system – if they don’t someone has to find the error, usually the misreading of a value off a cheque somewhere in the system and correcting the error (an “adjustment”).
  4. The interbank settlement process of the Bank of England and associated interbank reconciliations.

Tuesday, August 10, 2010

The Product Life Cycle

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A new product progresses through a sequence of stages from introduction to growth, maturity, and decline. This sequence is known as the product life cycle and is associated with changes in the marketing situation, thus impacting the marketing strategy and the marketing mix.

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The product revenue and profits can be plotted as a function of the life-cycle stages as shown in the graph below:

Introduction Stage

In the introduction stage, the firm seeks to build product awareness and develop a market for the product. The impact on the marketing mix is as follows:

  • Product branding and quality level is established, and intellectual property protection such as patents and trademarks are obtained.
  • Pricing may be low penetration pricing to build market share rapidly, or high skim pricing to recover development costs.
  • Distribution is selective until consumers show acceptance of the product.
  • Promotion is aimed at innovators and early adopters. Marketing communications seeks to build product awareness and to educate potential consumers about the product.

Growth Stage

In the growth stage, the firm seeks to build brand preference and increase market share.

  • Product quality is maintained and additional features and support services may be added.
  • Pricing is maintained as the firm enjoys increasing demand with little competition.
  • Distribution channels are added as demand increases and customers accept the product.
  • Promotion is aimed at a broader audience.

Maturity Stage

At maturity, the strong growth in sales diminishes. Competition may appear with similar products. The primary objective at this point is to defend market share while maximizing profit.

  • Product features may be enhanced to differentiate the product from that of competitors.
  • Pricing may be lower because of the new competition.
  • Distribution becomes more intensive and incentives may be offered to encourage preference over competing products.
  • Promotion emphasizes product differentiation.

Decline Stage

As sales decline, the firm has several options:

  • Maintain the product, possibly rejuvenating it by adding new features and finding new uses.
  • Harvest the product - reduce costs and continue to offer it, possibly to a loyal niche segment.
  • Discontinue the product, liquidating remaining inventory or selling it to another firm that is willing to continue the product.

The marketing mix decisions in the decline phase will depend on the selected strategy. For example, the product may be changed if it is being rejuvenated, or left unchanged if it is being harvested or liquidated. The price may be maintained if the product is harvested, or reduced drastically if liquidated.

marketing mix

Sunday, August 8, 2010

Mergers and Acquisitions

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The Main Idea

One plus one makes three: this equation is the special alchemy of a merger or an acquisition. The key principle behind buying a company is to create shareholder value over and above that of the sum of the two companies. Two companies together are more valuable than two separate companies - at least, that's the reasoning behind M&A.

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This rationale is particularly alluring to companies when times are tough. Strong companies will act to buy other companies to create a more competitive, cost-efficient company. The companies will come together hoping to gain a greater market share or to achieve greater efficiency. Because of these potential benefits, target companies will often agree to be purchased when they know they cannot survive alone.

Distinction between Mergers and Acquisitions

Although they are often uttered in the same breath and used as though they were synonymous, the terms merger and acquisition mean slightly different things. When one company takes over another and clearly established itself as the new owner, the purchase is called an acquisition
In the pure sense of the term, a merger happens when two firms, often of about the same size, agree to go forward as a single new company rather than remain separately owned and operated. This kind of action is more precisely referred to as a "merger of equals." Both companies' stocks are surrendered and new company stock is issued in its place. For example, both Daimler-Benz and Chrysler ceased to exist when the two firms merged, and a new company, DaimlerChrysler, was created.

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In practice, however, actual mergers of equals don't happen very often. Usually, one company will buy another and, as part of the deal's terms, simply allow the acquired firm to proclaim that the action is a merger of equals, even if it's technically an acquisition. Being bought out often carries negative connotations, therefore, by describing the deal as a merger, deal makers and top managers try to make the takeover more palatable.

Varieties of Mergers

From the perspective of business structures, there is a whole host of different mergers. Here are a few types, distinguished by the relationship between the two companies that are merging

Horizental Merger

Two companies that are in direct competition and share the same product lines and markets

Vertical Merger

A customer and company or a supplier and company. Think of a cone supplier merging with an ice cream maker.
Market-extension merger - Two companies that sell the same products in different markets.
Product-extension merger - Two companies selling different but related products in the same market.

Acquisitions

As you can see, an acquisition may be only slightly different from a merger. In fact, it may be different in name only. Like mergers, acquisitions are actions through which companies seek economies of scale, efficiencies and enhanced market visibility. Unlike all mergers, all acquisitions involve one firm purchasing another - there is no exchange of stock or consolidation as a new company. Acquisitions are often congenial, and all parties feel satisfied with the deal. Other times, acquisitions are more hostile.
In an acquisition, as in some of the merger deals we discuss above, a company can buy another company with cash, stock or a combination of the two. Another possibility, which is common in smaller deals, is for one company to acquire all the assets of another company. Company X buys all of Company Y's assets for cash, which means that Company Y will have only cash (and debt, if they had debt before). Of course, Company Y becomes merely a shell and will eventually liquidate or enter another area of business.
Another type of acquisition is a reverse merger, a deal that enables a private company to get publicly-listed in a relatively short time period. A reverse merger occurs when a private company that has strong prospects and is eager to raise financing buys a publicly-listed shell company, usually one with no business and limited assets. The private company reverse merges into the public company, and together they become an entirely new public corporation with tradable shares. Regardless of their category or structure, all mergers and acquisitions have one common goal: they are all meant to create synergy that makes the value of the combined companies greater than the sum of the two parts. The success of a merger or acquisition depends on whether this synergy is achieved.

Valuation Matters

Investors in a company that are aiming to take over another one must determine whether the purchase will be beneficial to them. In order to do so, they must ask themselves how much the company being acquired is really worth.
Naturally, both sides of an M&A deal will have different ideas about the worth of a target company: its seller will tend to value the company at as high of a price as possible, while the buyer will try to get the lowest price that he can. There are, however, many legitimate ways to value companies. The most common method is to look at comparable companies in an industry, but deal makers employ a variety of other methods and tools when assessing a target company. Here are just a few of them:

Comparative Ratios - The following are two examples of the many comparative metrics on which acquiring companies may base their offers:
Price-Earnings Ratio (P/E Ratio) - With the use of this ratio, an acquiring company makes an offer that is a multiple of the earnings of the target company. Looking at the P/E for all the stocks within the same industry group will give the acquiring company good guidance for what the target's P/E multiple should be.
Enterprise-Value-to-Sales Ratio (EV/Sales) - With this ratio, the acquiring company makes an offer as a multiple of the revenues, again, while being aware of the price-to-sales ratio of other companies in the industry.
Replacement Cost - In a few cases, acquisitions are based on the cost of replacing the target company. For simplicity's sake, suppose the value of a company is simply the sum of all its equipment and staffing costs. The acquiring company can literally order the target to sell at that price, or it will create a competitor for the same cost. Naturally, it takes a long time to assemble good management, acquire property and get the right equipment. This method of establishing a price certainly wouldn't make much sense in a service industry where the key assets - people and ideas - are hard to value and develop.
Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) - A key valuation tool in M&A, discounted cash flow analysis determines a company's current value according to its estimated future cash flows. Forecasted free cash flows (net income + depreciation/amortization - capital expenditures - change in working capital) are discounted to a present value using the company's weighted average costs of capital (WACC). Admittedly, DCF is tricky to get right, but few tools can rival this valuation method.

Synergy: The Premium for Potential Success

For the most part, acquiring companies nearly always pay a substantial premium on the stock market value of the companies they buy. The justification for doing so nearly always boils down to the notion of synergy; a merger benefits shareholders when a company's post-merger share price increases by the value of potential synergy. Let's face it, it would be highly unlikely for rational owners to sell if they would benefit more by not selling. That means buyers will need to pay a premium if they hope to acquire the company, regardless of what pre-merger valuation tells them. For sellers, that premium represents their company's future prospects. For buyers, the premium represents part of the post-merger synergy they expect can be achieved. The following equation offers a good way to think about synergy and how to determine whether a deal makes sense. The equation solves for the minimum required synergy: In other words, the success of a merger is measured by whether the value of the buyer is enhanced by the action. However, the practical constraints of mergers, which we discuss in part five, often prevent the expected benefits from being fully achieved. Alas, the synergy promised by deal makers might just fall short.

Conclusion

One size doesn't fit all. Many companies find that the best way to get ahead is to expand ownership boundaries through mergers and acquisitions. For others, separating the public ownership of a subsidiary or business segment offers more advantages. At least in theory, mergers create synergies and economies of scale, expanding operations and cutting costs. Investors can take comfort in the idea that a merger will deliver enhanced market power.
By contrast, de-merged companies often enjoy improved operating performance thanks to redesigned management incentives. Additional capital can fund growth organically or through acquisition. Meanwhile, investors benefit from the improved information flow from de-merged companies. M&A comes in all shapes and sizes, and investors need to consider the complex issues involved in M&A. The most beneficial form of equity structure involves a complete analysis of the costs and benefits associated with the deals

Saturday, August 7, 2010

Fiscal and Monetary Policy

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Fiscal Policy

Fiscus (in Latin) refers to a purse and ‘fisc’ (in English) is a royal or state treasury. Thus, ‘fiscal policy’ is that under which the government uses its revenue and expenditure programs to produce desirable effects on national income, production and economy. It is thus used as a balancing device in the economy. Two major elements of fiscal policy are taxation and public expenditure.

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Objectives of fiscal policy

The role of fiscal policy in developed economies is to maintain full employment and stabilize growth. In contrast, in developing countries, fiscal policy is used to create an environment for rapid economic growth. The various aspects of this are:

  1. Mobilization of resources: Developing economies are characterized by low levels of income and investment, which are linked in a vicious circle. This can be successfully broken by mobilizing resources for investment energetically.
  2. Acceleration of economic growth: The government has not only to mobilize more resources for investment, but also to direct the resources to those channels where the yield is higher and the goods produced are socially acceptable.
  3. Minimization of the inequalities of income and wealth: Fiscal tools can be used to bring about the redistribution of income in favor of the poor by spending revenue so raised on social welfare activities.
  4. Increasing employment opportunities: Fiscal incentives, in the form of tax-rebates and concessions, can be used to promote the growth of those industries that have high employment-generation potential.
  5. Price stability: Fiscal tools can be employed to contain inflationary and deflationary tendencies in the economy.

The limitations of Fiscal Policy

Fiscal policy has been a great success in developed countries but only partially so in developing countries. The tax structure in the developing countries is rigid and narrow. Thus, conditions conducive to the growth of well-knit and integrated tax policies are absent and sorely missed. Following are some of the reasons that are hindrances for its implementation in developing countries:

  1. A sizeable portion of most developing economies is non-monetized, rendering fiscal measures of the government ineffective and self-defeating.
  2. Lack of statistical information as regards the income, expenditure, savings, investment, employment etc. makes it difficult for the public authorities to formulate a rational and effective fiscal policy.
  3. Fiscal policy cannot succeed unless people understand its implications and cooperate with the government in its implication. This is due to the fact that, in developing countries, a majority of the people are illiterate.
  4. Large-scale tax evasion, by people who are not conscious of their roles in development, has an impact on fiscal policy.
  5. Fiscal policy requires efficient administrative machinery to be successful. Most developing economies have corrupt and inefficient administrations that fail to implement the requisite measures vis-à-vis the implementation of fiscal policy.

Among the various tools of fiscal policy, the following are the most important

Reflationary Fiscal Policy

It may be used to boost the level of economic activity during periods of recession or deceleration in economic activity. This is done by lowering taxes or increasing government expenditure.

Deflationary Fiscal Policy

During a boom, i.e., when the economy is growing beyond its capacity, inflation and balance of payment problems might result. This can be achieved by increasing taxes or by reducing government expenditure.

It would perhaps be too simplistic to conclude that fiscal policy is the most important tool of financial correction and consolidation, especially that undertaken by the government. However, there is no reason to neglect this very powerful tool that is in the hands of governments and central banks the world over. Used properly, fiscal policy can determine the broad direction the economy of a given country is going to take.

Monetary policy

Monetary policy is the process to manage the supply of money in such that specific goals such price stability, employment etc are achieved. A central bank's measures to influence short-term interest rates and the supply of money and credit, to promote national economic goals are another way to define monetary policy. It has two basic goals: to promote maximum sustainable output and employment and to promote stable prices.

sbp  It is given great notice by each country’s government and special bodies are appointed to achieve these goals. In general, these organizations are called central bank and typically serve a role of supervising the smooth operation of the financial system as well as monetary policy. They are generally given liberty to avoid interference of ruling government that can misuse it. It is said to be easy, loose or expansionary when the quantity of money in circulation is being rapidly increased and short-term interest rates are thus being pushed down. Monetary policy is called tight or contraction when the quantity of money available is being reduced and short-term interest rates are thus being pushed to higher levels.

The primary instrument of monetary policy is typically a short term interest rate. Interest rates on loan contracts or debt appliances such as treasury bills, bank certificates of deposit, or commercial paper having maturities less than one year often called money market rates are short term interest rates. In the future, the amount of goods and services the economy produces and the number of jobs it generates both depends on factors other than monetary policy. These include technology and people's preferences for saving, risk, and work effort. So, utmost output and employment mean the levels consistent with these factors in the long run. Currently all central banks in industrialized countries adopt monetary policy through market-oriented instruments geared to influencing short-term interest rates as operating targets. They do so mainly by determining the conditions that stabilize supply and demand in the market for bank reserves.

Factors to be considered

Money Stock

It is the total money available in a particular economy at a particular point in time. Various sorts of things may be serving as money at the same time in any particular economy, exact definition and measurement of the money stock presents some serious practical problems for the policy maker who needs to use manipulation of the growth of the money stock as a tool of economic policy.

Open market operations

Sales or purchases of government debt devices such as treasury bonds, treasury bills, treasury notes on the open financial markets by a nations central bank (in the U.S., the Federal Reserve) as part of its efforts to control the size of the money supply and the levels of interest rates. Central bank verdict to buy up government debt instruments make for an expansionary monetary policy, while sales of government debt instruments by the central bank represent a contractionary monetary policy.

Also a well functioning good and labor market form an important factor of competitiveness within the single monetary policy. Fiscal policy, also plays as an instrument of growth policy, through its effect on national saving by means of the structural budget deficit, through incentive effects on work, saving and investment via tax rates and tax structure, and through public investment in human capital and physical infrastructure.

Price stability is the unique objective for monetary policy for long term. The upsetting effects of price instability in the economy are felt in the form of Business Cycles. When there are rapid changes in the price level there are fluctuations in the level of economic activities also. Price stability means that the average price as found by the wholesale or Consumer Price index fluctuate within a narrow range. Both rise in price level and drop in price level cause disturbances and have bad effects on the economy. A monetary policy may reduce short-term interest rates by flooding the banks and financial markets with funds providing loan and yet at the same time may in fact raise longer-term interest rates by prompting fears among lenders that inflation will soon be speed up.

Sadly, medium and long-term interest rates have much more pressure on the rate of growth of the economy and on levels of unemployment than short-term interest rates do, because major new investment spending like research and development for new products or the construction of whole new factories are long-term projects that require financing, and they are less likely to be undertaken. Monetary policy should therefore very carefully plan and efficiently worked out since it decides the economic growth of a country.

Tuesday, July 20, 2010

Promotion and advertising

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The answers to these five questions underpin all advertising and promotional strategies:

  1. What do you want to happen?
  2. If that happens, how much is it worth?
  3. What message will make it happen?
  4. What media will work best?
  5. How will you measure the effectiveness of your effort and expense?

What do you want to happen?

Do you want prospective customers to visit your website; phone, write to you or e-mail you; return a card; or send an order in the post? Do you expect them to have an immediate need to which you want them to respond now, or is it that you want them to remember you at some future date when they have a need for whatever it is you are selling?

The more you are able to identify a specific response in terms of orders, visits, phone calls or requests for literature, the better your promotional effort will be tailored to achieve your objective, and the more clearly you will be able to assess the effectiveness of your promotion and its cost versus its yield.

How much is that worth to you?

Once you know what you want a particular promotional activity to achieve,it becomes a little easier to estimate its cost. Suppose a Rs.1,000 advertisement is expected to generate 100 enquiries for your product. If experience tells you that on average 10 per cent of enquiries result in orders, and your profit margin is Rs.200 per product, then you can expect an extra Rs.2,000 profit. That ‘benefit’ is much greater than the Rs.1,000 cost of the advertisement, so it seems a worthwhile investment. Then, with your target in mind, decide how much to spend on advertising each month, revising that figure in the light of experience.

Deciding the message

Your promotional message must be built around facts about the company and about the product. The stress here is on the word ‘fact’, and while there may be many types of fact surrounding you and your products, your customers are interested in only two: the facts that influence their buying decisions, and the ways in which your business and its products stand out from the competition.

These facts must be translated into benefits.There is sometimes an assumption that everyone buys only for obvious, logical reasons, when we all know of innumerable examples showing this is not so. Do people buy new clothes only when the old ones are worn out? Do bosses have desks that are bigger than their subordinates’ because they have more papers to put on them?

The message should follow the AIDA formula: get Attention, capture Interest, create Desire and encourage Action. Looking at each in turn:

Getting attention requires a hook. Color, humor and design are tools used to focus people on your offer and away from the masses of distracting clutter that occupy minds.

Interest is achieved by involving people in some aspect of the product, perhaps by posing a question such as one diet company does with its challenge ‘would you like to loose 2 kg in 2 weeks?’.

Desire is about showing people the end result they could achieve by having or using your product. Every speedboat advertisement has a beautiful girl posing , the inference being that if you owned the boat you would be sure to get the girl too.

Action means provoking a painless way for people to start the buying process. Free trial, money-back guarantee, offer only lasts this week and so forth are examples of the strategies used to achieve this result.

UACCA – Unawareness, Awareness, Comprehension, Conviction, Action is another acronym used in this context.

Choosing the media

Your market research should produce a clear understanding of who your potential customer group are, which in turn will provide pointers as to how to reach them. But even when you know whom you want to reach with your advertising message it’s not always plain sailing.

Above or below the line

Advertising media are usually clustered under two headings, above the line and below the line. It has to be said that the line is becoming increasingly indistinct but it is still a term that is part of the lexicon in seeing the advertising budget.

Above the line

Above the line (ATL) involves using conventional impersonal mass media to promote products and services, talking at the consumer. Major above-the-line techniques include:

  • TV, cinema and radio advertising: The vast array of local newspapers, TV channels and digital radio stations can make this a more targeted advertising strategy than has been the case.
  • Print advertising in newspapers, magazines, directories and classified ads: Print of all forms has the merit of having a long life, so it can be used for handling more complex messages than, say, radio or TV.
  • Internet banner ads act as a point of entry for a more detailed advert.
  • Search engines: Search engine advertising comes in two main forms.
  • PPC (pay per click) is where you buy options on certain key words so that someone searching for a product will see your ‘advertisement’ to the side of the natural search results. Google, for example, offers a deal where you pay only when someone clicks on your ad and you can set a daily budget stating how much you are prepared to spend, with $5 a day as the starting price.
  • Podcasts, where internet users can download sound and video free, are now an important part of the E-advertising armoury.
  • Posters and billboards.

Below the line

Below the line (BTL) talks to the consumer in a more personal way using such media as:

  • Direct mail – leaflets, flyers, brochures: Response rates are notoriously
  • low, less than 1 per cent resulting in sale, but direct mail has the merit of being a proven method of reaching specific targeted market segments.
  • Direct e-mail and viral marketing: The latter is the process of creating something so hot that the recipients will pass it on to friends and colleagues, creating extra demand as it rolls out. Jokes, games, pictures, quizzes and surveys are examples.
  • Sales promotions, including point of sales material: Activities carried out in this area include free samples, try before you buy, discounts, coupons, incentives and rebates, contests, and special events such as fairs and exhibitions.
  • PR (public relations): This is about presenting yourself and your business in a favorable light to your various ‘publics’ – at little or no cost. It is also a more influential method of communication than general advertising – people believe editorials. There may also be times when you have to deal with the press – anything from when you are trying to get attention for a new product to handling an adverse situation, say if your product has to be recalled for quality reasons, or worse.
  • Letterheads, stationery and business cards are often overlooked in the battle for customer attention, but are in fact often the first and perhaps only way in which a business’s image is projected.
  • Blogs, where the opinions and experiences of particular groups of people are shared using online communities such as MySpace, for example, are an extension of this idea. Neilson NetRatings reported in 2008 that over 2 billion community sites are viewed every month in the UK alone.

Push or pull

Like above or below the line, push and pull are different advertising strategies used for achieving different results. Pull advertising is geared to drawing visitors into your net if they are actively looking for your type of product or service. Search engines, listings in on- and off-line directories, Yellow Pages and shopping portals are examples here.

Push advertising tries to get the word out to groups of potential customers in the hope that some of them will be considering making a purchase at about that time. Magazines, newspapers, TV, banner ads and direct mail both on- and off-line are examples here.

As with above and below the line, the distinctions are fast becoming blurred, but the message used in your advertising will be different. With pull there is the assumption that people want to buy, and they just need convincing that they should buy from you. Push calls for a different message convincing them of their need and desire in the first place.

Measuring results

The final step is to measuring performance and evaluate your results.

 

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